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Re: Sentoa Digest, Vol 161, Issue 11

L
Louis
Fri, Oct 25, 2024 9:23 PM

Ok, this is getting weird. I haven’t been closely following but that is one of the oddest rants/Ted Talks I’ve ever read.

I hope everyone is enjoying their fall cruising.

Cheers,

Louis
Dark Star

On Oct 25, 2024, at 10:59 AM, sentoa-request@lists.sentoa.org wrote:

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Today's Topics:

  1. Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston Claytor) (P MVKW)

Message: 1
Date: Fri, 25 Oct 2024 13:59:24 -0400
From: P MVKW public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com
Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston
Claytor)
To: sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
Message-ID:
CAGXY2UDcZwixodwWNJ_UagoTuCJpusMZ14BS8XxwBOoY=GwC5Q@mail.gmail.com
Content-Type: multipart/alternative;
boundary="000000000000c8d4a0062550e19b"

Hi Preston,

Thank you for looking out for me. I don’t check this list often as I’m a
committed former boater (love the boat.. hate “other things”).. and another
person from the list texted me to check my boat email.

I need lots of tough love for lots of things, but I don’t think we’re quite
there yet on the boat.. I’ll explain. I recognized your name from a
thoughtful post about accepting a chartering business offer for my boat.
90% of what I hear on the web is quietly dropped into the
“google-smart/forum-smart bucket” and prioritized accordingly. I have a
memory of that reply’s excellence and felt your actual knowledge of that
space fell into the other 10% and was immediately appreciated.

A lot going on, but from the above, I am obliged (happily) to return the
favor you did for me. Two things about this note.. I can report you truly
could have done some homework on the business side to justify your
conclusions. Truly, all of that was covered, usually in multiple places and
your three options for why I still have it, respectfully, don’t line up
with reality at my end. All that’s covered, but if you have a boat, why
read my site? Well... if you’re going to diagnose my judgment or boat at a
distance and reduce the risk of replacing fact with a contrary assumption
that fits into a bucket you saw someplace else. It’s considered good form
to raise criticisms one on one, and especially when a faulty assumption
might influence the thinking of anyone who might have heard it... like
potentially interested buyers. You might start off making room for other
possibilities... that are easily discoverable if you’re truly committed to
sharing your opinion.

Here’s something I don’t share outside of close friends that might provide
a reason to not make simple assumptions about my decision-making on this..
EVERY DAY of my adult life, and I’m ancient now, I wake up committed to
being different than everyone I meet that day to build skills and learn new
things that make me useful in ways most cannot be. Nobody makes room for
that guy, and no problem. Thinking mistakes have put a lot of food on the
table and will sell some books. Look at the endorsements on my site.. I’m a
freak. Practitioner’s experience (years and hours) and a formalist’s
training (years and hours).. I can’t waste hours of life being regaled by
friends in their cockpit sipping wine and watching yet another sunset, with
accounts of how cosmically perfect their new Italian marble counters are,
or how their massively optioned new Range Rover FINALLY got exactly the
right shade of white. Kill me. I’m a freak like I said, but to quote cop
friend, “better that than being a serial murderer”. Though I’m sure he only
says that because I know how to adjust his clutch in the field, and blow
him away in the cones... and I have a backhoe that can dig down 7’, while
cadaver sniffing dogs are only good to 3’:) I’m sorry to push this blather
out.. I know I’m broken/different than you’re used to, but hopefully in a
useful way. But still, I’d prefer to not get into any of this in public
settings like forums. Hey.. .I don’t trust most people’s judgment either,
and I get that too. If you have something to share I can potentially use, I
VERY much wish to hear it, but non-destructively.

Regarding brokers.. covered in spades too. I have 40+ years running a tech
company I began and I was both the top technical (fun) and business
(boring) guy. I can clean a bathroom better than any employee too.
Operating on 4 continents. It presented bottomless opportunities to develop
my rules of engagement and to never risk my reputation or the outcome with
a relationship I shouldn’t be in. Under that umbrella, include never
pretending I didn’t compute to potential to violate that ROE when I read
the anti-trust/anti-competitive behavior alleged in the class action suit
linked in this: https://tinyurl.com/yv7deenz. But read the details.. I made
4 sincere efforts when I decided to sell. Never again.

Business judgment is always subject to the deciders squishy rules about
things you can’t hold in your hands. On the other hand, when you get into
systems and practical stochastic reasoning/decision, you’re squarely in my
wheel house and this is the part of your note I feel obligated to put back
on the tracks. Diving in...

By Preston:    ... your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump
Cummins products are superior… this is an opinion.

Multiple issues ruin that...

First.. I’m sorry Preston, but where you came off the tracks (respectfully)
the most is to confuse the line between opinion and math. Nearly the
opposite of each other. I’m sure typing in “opinion vs math” into a search
engine will fill in the details.

Literally the first blog I ever wrote (https://tinyurl.com/mv8fd9hr) on the
site showed the math of how parts-count drives failure rate and it attempts
to assume the reader is not an astronaut. I must have repeated this next
point 20 times in recent writing......

------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK --------

Friends gave me crap for repeating it so much recently. You have to though
when you’re audience is very unlikely to have an engineering/systems
background. Repetition is the soul of education, if you ask the Jesuits.
But no matter.. forget the math.. all you need to remember are those seven
words. Inarguable.

Second... Saying my position is that mechanical fuel pumps are superior to
electronic also comes at the point from the wrong direction... an “Escher
shift”. My ACTUAL point is to respect the truth that as the count of parts
that can stop the show (and # system states) increases, so will the failure
rate of the system..... Assuming the non-control elements of the engine’s
under comparison being approximately equal, the electronically controlled
engine has a barge full of things THAT CAN FAIL and kill the system on the
spot, that the mechanical engine does noT.

------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK --------

They aren’t intrinsically superior.. they just haven’t had numerous
vulnerabilities designed/built in to them because some hippies at the EPA
“had an idea”.

Don’t miss this detail I failed to put in the note on the web site that
might be a different path to clarity.. adding one single part that performs
a critical function to a collection of parts decreases that system’s
reliability/MTBF.

And don’t gloss over it being only about the fuel pump... on the
electronic, but not the mechanical, you have a universe of sensors, servos,
network/connections, and infinitely more state-spaces. They are enumerated
in the comparison note....

Third.. I see you refer to Cummins and that is secondary to the point. My
boat competes with other Nordic Tugs and they all use Cummins, but in the
comparison of electronic vs mechanical (https://tinyurl.com/bd6jdu66) is about
one control type  vs another
, and is in the end irrespective of brand.
Math and physics don’t understand brand. I was fortunate to be able to
enlarge the data set using Cummins truck engines and still retain a
connection to Cummins and to the time frame. The non-zero possibility both
marine and truck control systems being design by the same design culture
and maybe even the same people.

Fourth... about....

NOT PAYING MORE FOR something older with less functionality

I’m dead certain you won’t, but you should. They ARE more reliable for
reasons you don't seem to accept as valid. I wish I were better at
explaining this. You aren’t unique in this but this perspective is never
heard from people who are more technically educated/experienced (high
hours), and who are mechanically inclined and long-term engine guys... who
play with engines for fun. This stuff is what I do for a living. This stuff
is exactly what I used to select my boat 10 years ago. I’ve been involved
in flying around the world to debug system designs since the late 80’s.
Pointless complexity (parts count/system states) NEVER adds to reliability.
I have been on rescue consults where that toxic pointless complexity was
the root cause of the problem.

Different try... Read up on the first vacuum tube computers like Eniac or
Colossus.. up to 2000 tubes... 500hr tube MTBF.. which translates to
FREQUENT system failures. To reduce the ultimate system failure rates,
designers worked to lower the parts (tubes) count, and to make the
constituent parts more reliable. There are  accounts that the run time for
some problems were not infrequently longer than the mean projected system
up time. Identical to the elevator problem in that first blog... imagine
the elevator can’t move if certain individual bulbs are out. Same as
electronically controlled engines. There’s nobody with design
responsibility who doesn’t know this but it doesn’t trickle down to the
user. They don’t put it in the brochure next to the super models. I knew
this going in when I decided I had to sell it myself and tried to educate.
I’d say 1/3+ of the people who contact the site are believers by the time
they fill out the form and most get there eventually. As with 100% of the
people I speak with about technical decision/risk, the most interested are
military and surgeons who “get” don’t F up or death follows.

Re: the “less functionality” you refer to... the complete phrase would be:

“less functionality not essential to the mission”

The mission is to keep the engine running no matter what. What comes after
that is entertainment.

The “older” you refer to won’t matter in your lifetime. There is a
too-simplistic view of “old” about machinery at work in the leisure class.
I’ve got 75% of the factory projected engine life left on mine and one
person in a position to know said that actual projected engine life is
actually about 50% more than published projected. You personally won’t pay
for it but “old, simple and well-cared“ for has plenty of people
competing for. A real thing. Look up the Lindy Effect.

If you read the multiple places where I said it, my position on
mechanical/electronic is for PRE-DECISION PEOPLE... NOT POST-DECISION. I’m
ecstatic you’re so satisfied with your boat... best of luck going forward.
And while either of your electronically controlled engines are absolutely
more vulnerable than my 6CT, your SYSTEM reliability (the vessel able to
still move) is much higher than mine given you have two of them. I said
that in the note too.

I gotta end this because I wrote it ALL down in much more careful detail
already, but honestly.. this isn’t that hard. The 7 magic words. Every
system is the elevator problem. Give that note I put up comparing
reliability of mechanical vs electronic a read without having an initial
mindset I'm a screw up. I make a tolerable living at these things and
nobody ever stood up during a talk while I was speaking and screamed “I
would gladly pay another Kreutzer if this would simply stop!!” (As happened
to Beethoven, while conducting the debut of his Eroica symphony in Vienna
when an audience member found it a little too long.)

Thank you again for looking out for me. Appreciated. Safe sailing.

Take care,

M

Message: 4
Date: Tue, 22 Oct 2024 08:57:59 -0400
From: Preston Claytor lelandtrawlers@gmail.com
Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work
To: "South East Nordic Tugs Owners' Association (SENTOA)"
sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
Cc: P MVKW public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com
Message-ID: AF095210-CB5B-4CB2-A49D-311AFC2F893E@gmail.com
Content-Type: multipart/alternative;
boundary="Apple-Mail=_311953C0-9A8B-4066-9F80-9F54264184C8"

Miguel,
Perhaps its time for some tough love …..
I’m pretty sure that this boat has been for sale for several years.
NTs are fairly marketable which leads us to several possibilities…

  1. There is something wrong with it (I doubt it)
  2. It is over priced …. (likely)
  3. You don’t really want to sell it  (no clue)
    If you really wanted to move the boat, one call to a reputable broker and
    a reasonable price would sell it ….
    Lastly, your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump Cummins
    products are superior … this is an opinion.  Is there anything wrong with
    the older engines …. no …. but ….
    I have a pair of common rail Cummins in my current boat and they are
    bullet proof machines that produce for more useable information than the
    analog gaged older models … that is a fact and my opinion is that they are
    equal or superior to the older models.
    I personally wouldn’t pay extra for something older with less
    functionality …
    Preston
    Former NT owner (sold mine quickly by the above method)

On Oct 18, 2024, at 11:05 AM, P MVKW via Sentoa sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
wrote:

Greetings,

Two points,

First, I need to reclaim the time I spend creating blogs for Clock
Work's web site.. 95% of the time, those were written out out of necessity
to drive eyeballs to the site and it worked very well... it lead to a bunch
of good leads, to interesting/fun conversations, and most importantly, some
new friends, but.. life is short and getting shorter. I need to replace the
"finder" (i.e. awareness) function that that provided. The replacement plan
is to deputize anyone as a replacement buyer brokers, or well-paid
recommenders if you prefer. It's astonishing how often this channel was
discovered in casual conversation at the marina.

So, anyone  who knows someone looking for or interested in a nice Nordic
Tug 42 can just introduce them (with their permission, please) to Clock
Work via its web site. If that person ends up buying her, YOU.. the
introducer.. get most of that buyer-broker's commission... 1.5%. NO other
work to do whatsoever, other than upwards of 30 seconds of clicking/typing
to introduce your suggestion using the contact screen.

Using the Option-1/market price,  $525k  as an example.. you're paid
$7875 if your guy buys her. Read up on the higher-than-you-might-think odds
in your favor at the link below.

Details at:
https://www.clockwork-usa.com/post/the-clock-work-common-broker-program

Second thing.. did a note on my engineering/systems take wrt fully
mechanical vs electronic diesel engine control considerations, which comes
up with literally everyone I speak with about Clock Work.  It's located
right next to the "common broker/introducer program blog". Important.. the
note is intended for the person in the process of deciding, when a choice
exists, between those decisions. Not for the person who already made the
decision.

Safe sailing/raking,
Miguel

--
MV Clockwork

Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/
fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT (reliability by design)

75% of factory projected engine life remaining
gen-2 layout with bridge
see more at the site
If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls
look at the recommender program that pays 1.5% to whomever recommends the
ultimate buyer..
example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work"    cf:
https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y


Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
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Subject: Digest Footer


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To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org


End of Sentoa Digest, Vol 161, Issue 10


--
MV Clockwork

Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/

  • fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT
  • 75% of factory projected engine life remaining

  • gen-2 layout with bridge

If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls look
at the recommender program that pays 1.5% to whomever recommends the
ultimate buyer..

example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work"    cf: https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y

Ok, this is getting weird. I haven’t been closely following but that is one of the oddest rants/Ted Talks I’ve ever read. I hope everyone is enjoying their fall cruising. Cheers, Louis Dark Star > On Oct 25, 2024, at 10:59 AM, sentoa-request@lists.sentoa.org wrote: > > Send Sentoa mailing list submissions to > sentoa@lists.sentoa.org > > To subscribe or unsubscribe via email, send a message with subject or > body 'help' to > sentoa-request@lists.sentoa.org > > You can reach the person managing the list at > sentoa-owner@lists.sentoa.org > > When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific > than "Re: Contents of Sentoa digest..." > > Today's Topics: > > 1. Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston Claytor) (P MVKW) > > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Message: 1 > Date: Fri, 25 Oct 2024 13:59:24 -0400 > From: P MVKW <public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com> > Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston > Claytor) > To: sentoa@lists.sentoa.org > Message-ID: > <CAGXY2UDcZwixodwWNJ_UagoTuCJpusMZ14BS8XxwBOoY=GwC5Q@mail.gmail.com> > Content-Type: multipart/alternative; > boundary="000000000000c8d4a0062550e19b" > > Hi Preston, > > > > Thank you for looking out for me. I don’t check this list often as I’m a > committed former boater (love the boat.. hate “other things”).. and another > person from the list texted me to check my boat email. > > > > I need lots of tough love for lots of things, but I don’t think we’re quite > there yet on the boat.. I’ll explain. I recognized your name from a > thoughtful post about accepting a chartering business offer for my boat. > 90% of what I hear on the web is quietly dropped into the > “google-smart/forum-smart bucket” and prioritized accordingly. I have a > memory of that reply’s excellence and felt your actual knowledge of that > space fell into the other 10% and was immediately appreciated. > > > > A lot going on, but from the above, I am obliged (happily) to return the > favor you did for me. Two things about this note.. I can report you truly > could have done some homework on the business side to justify your > conclusions. Truly, all of that was covered, usually in multiple places and > your three options for why I still have it, respectfully, don’t line up > with reality at my end. All that’s covered, but if you have a boat, why > read my site? Well... if you’re going to diagnose my judgment or boat at a > distance and reduce the risk of replacing fact with a contrary assumption > that fits into a bucket you saw someplace else. It’s considered good form > to raise criticisms one on one, and especially when a faulty assumption > might influence the thinking of anyone who might have heard it... like > potentially interested buyers. You might start off making room for other > possibilities... that are easily discoverable if you’re truly committed to > sharing your opinion. > > > > Here’s something I don’t share outside of close friends that might provide > a reason to not make simple assumptions about my decision-making on this.. > EVERY DAY of my adult life, and I’m ancient now, I wake up committed to > being different than everyone I meet that day to build skills and learn new > things that make me useful in ways most cannot be. Nobody makes room for > that guy, and no problem. Thinking mistakes have put a lot of food on the > table and will sell some books. Look at the endorsements on my site.. I’m a > freak. Practitioner’s experience (years and hours) and a formalist’s > training (years and hours).. I can’t waste hours of life being regaled by > friends in their cockpit sipping wine and watching yet another sunset, with > accounts of how cosmically perfect their new Italian marble counters are, > or how their massively optioned new Range Rover FINALLY got exactly the > right shade of white. Kill me. I’m a freak like I said, but to quote cop > friend, “better that than being a serial murderer”. Though I’m sure he only > says that because I know how to adjust his clutch in the field, and blow > him away in the cones... and I have a backhoe that can dig down 7’, while > cadaver sniffing dogs are only good to 3’:) I’m sorry to push this blather > out.. I know I’m broken/different than you’re used to, but hopefully in a > useful way. But still, I’d prefer to not get into any of this in public > settings like forums. Hey.. .I don’t trust most people’s judgment either, > and I get that too. If you have something to share I can potentially use, I > VERY much wish to hear it, but non-destructively. > > > > Regarding brokers.. covered in spades too. I have 40+ years running a tech > company I began and I was both the top technical (fun) and business > (boring) guy. I can clean a bathroom better than any employee too. > Operating on 4 continents. It presented bottomless opportunities to develop > my rules of engagement and to never risk my reputation or the outcome with > a relationship I shouldn’t be in. Under that umbrella, include never > pretending I didn’t compute to potential to violate that ROE when I read > the anti-trust/anti-competitive behavior alleged in the class action suit > linked in this: https://tinyurl.com/yv7deenz. But read the details.. I made > 4 sincere efforts when I decided to sell. Never again. > > > > Business judgment is always subject to the deciders squishy rules about > things you can’t hold in your hands. On the other hand, when you get into > systems and practical stochastic reasoning/decision, you’re squarely in my > wheel house and this is the part of your note I feel obligated to put back > on the tracks. Diving in... > > > > > > By Preston: ... your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump > Cummins products are superior… this is an opinion. > > > > Multiple issues ruin that... > > > > First.. I’m sorry Preston, but where you came off the tracks (respectfully) > the most is to confuse the line between opinion and math. Nearly the > opposite of each other. I’m sure typing in “opinion vs math” into a search > engine will fill in the details. > > > > Literally the first blog I ever wrote (https://tinyurl.com/mv8fd9hr) on the > site showed the math of how parts-count drives failure rate and it attempts > to assume the reader is not an astronaut. I must have repeated this next > point 20 times in recent writing...... > > > > ------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK -------- > > > > Friends gave me crap for repeating it so much recently. You have to though > when you’re audience is very unlikely to have an engineering/systems > background. Repetition is the soul of education, if you ask the Jesuits. > But no matter.. forget the math.. all you need to remember are those seven > words. Inarguable. > > > > Second... Saying my position is that mechanical fuel pumps are superior to > electronic also comes at the point from the wrong direction... an “Escher > shift”. My ACTUAL point is to respect the truth that as the count of parts > that can stop the show (and # system states) increases, so will the failure > rate of the system..... Assuming the non-control elements of the engine’s > under comparison being approximately equal, the electronically controlled > engine has a barge full of things THAT CAN FAIL and kill the system on the > spot, that the mechanical engine does noT. > > > > > > ------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK -------- > > > > > > They aren’t intrinsically superior.. they just haven’t had numerous > vulnerabilities designed/built in to them because some hippies at the EPA > “had an idea”. > > > > Don’t miss this detail I failed to put in the note on the web site that > might be a different path to clarity.. adding one single part that performs > a critical function to a collection of parts decreases that system’s > reliability/MTBF. > > > > And don’t gloss over it being only about the fuel pump... on the > electronic, but not the mechanical, you have a universe of sensors, servos, > network/connections, and infinitely more state-spaces. They are enumerated > in the comparison note.... > > > > Third.. I see you refer to Cummins and that is secondary to the point. My > boat competes with other Nordic Tugs and they all use Cummins, but in the > comparison of electronic vs mechanical (https://tinyurl.com/bd6jdu66) is *about > one control **type** vs another*, and is in the end irrespective of brand. > Math and physics don’t understand brand. I was fortunate to be able to > enlarge the data set using Cummins truck engines and still retain a > connection to Cummins and to the time frame. The non-zero possibility both > marine and truck control systems being design by the same design culture > and maybe even the same people. > > > > Fourth... about.... > > > > NOT PAYING MORE FOR something older with less functionality > > > > I’m dead certain you won’t, but you should. They ARE more reliable for > reasons you don't seem to accept as valid. I wish I were better at > explaining this. You aren’t unique in this but this perspective is never > heard from people who are more technically educated/experienced (high > hours), and who are mechanically inclined and long-term engine guys... who > play with engines for fun. This stuff is what I do for a living. This stuff > is exactly what I used to select my boat 10 years ago. I’ve been involved > in flying around the world to debug system designs since the late 80’s. > Pointless complexity (parts count/system states) NEVER adds to reliability. > I have been on rescue consults where that toxic pointless complexity was > the root cause of the problem. > > > > Different try... Read up on the first vacuum tube computers like Eniac or > Colossus.. up to 2000 tubes... 500hr tube MTBF.. which translates to > FREQUENT system failures. To reduce the ultimate system failure rates, > designers worked to lower the parts (tubes) count, and to make the > constituent parts more reliable. There are accounts that the run time for > some problems were not infrequently longer than the mean projected system > up time. Identical to the elevator problem in that first blog... imagine > the elevator can’t move if certain individual bulbs are out. Same as > electronically controlled engines. There’s nobody with design > responsibility who doesn’t know this but it doesn’t trickle down to the > user. They don’t put it in the brochure next to the super models. I knew > this going in when I decided I had to sell it myself and tried to educate. > I’d say 1/3+ of the people who contact the site are believers by the time > they fill out the form and most get there eventually. As with 100% of the > people I speak with about technical decision/risk, the most interested are > military and surgeons who “get” don’t F up or death follows. > > > > Re: the “less functionality” you refer to... the complete phrase would be: > > > > “less functionality not essential to the mission” > > > > The mission is to keep the engine running no matter what. What comes after > that is entertainment. > > > > The “older” you refer to won’t matter in your lifetime. There is a > too-simplistic view of “old” about machinery at work in the leisure class. > I’ve got 75% of the factory projected engine life left on mine and one > person in a position to know said that actual projected engine life is > actually about 50% more than published projected. You personally won’t pay > for it but “old, simple *and well-cared*“ for has plenty of people > competing for. A real thing. Look up the Lindy Effect. > > > > If you read the multiple places where I said it, my position on > mechanical/electronic is for PRE-DECISION PEOPLE... NOT POST-DECISION. I’m > ecstatic you’re so satisfied with your boat... best of luck going forward. > And while either of your electronically controlled engines are absolutely > more vulnerable than my 6CT, your SYSTEM reliability (the vessel able to > still move) is much higher than mine given you have two of them. I said > that in the note too. > > > > > > I gotta end this because I wrote it ALL down in much more careful detail > already, but honestly.. this isn’t that hard. The 7 magic words. Every > system is the elevator problem. Give that note I put up comparing > reliability of mechanical vs electronic a read without having an initial > mindset I'm a screw up. I make a tolerable living at these things and > nobody ever stood up during a talk while I was speaking and screamed “I > would gladly pay another Kreutzer if this would simply stop!!” (As happened > to Beethoven, while conducting the debut of his Eroica symphony in Vienna > when an audience member found it a little too long.) > > > > Thank you again for looking out for me. Appreciated. Safe sailing. > > > > Take care, > > M > > > > > >> Message: 4 >> Date: Tue, 22 Oct 2024 08:57:59 -0400 >> From: Preston Claytor <lelandtrawlers@gmail.com> >> Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work >> To: "South East Nordic Tugs Owners' Association (SENTOA)" >> <sentoa@lists.sentoa.org> >> Cc: P MVKW <public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com> >> Message-ID: <AF095210-CB5B-4CB2-A49D-311AFC2F893E@gmail.com> >> Content-Type: multipart/alternative; >> boundary="Apple-Mail=_311953C0-9A8B-4066-9F80-9F54264184C8" >> >> Miguel, >> Perhaps its time for some tough love ….. >> I’m pretty sure that this boat has been for sale for several years. >> NTs are fairly marketable which leads us to several possibilities… >> 1. There is something wrong with it (I doubt it) >> 2. It is over priced …. (likely) >> 3. You don’t really want to sell it (no clue) >> If you really wanted to move the boat, one call to a reputable broker and >> a reasonable price would sell it …. >> Lastly, your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump Cummins >> products are superior … this is an opinion. Is there anything wrong with >> the older engines …. no …. but …. >> I have a pair of common rail Cummins in my current boat and they are >> bullet proof machines that produce for more useable information than the >> analog gaged older models … that is a fact and my opinion is that they are >> equal or superior to the older models. >> I personally wouldn’t pay extra for something older with less >> functionality … >> Preston >> Former NT owner (sold mine quickly by the above method) >> >> >>> On Oct 18, 2024, at 11:05 AM, P MVKW via Sentoa <sentoa@lists.sentoa.org> >> wrote: >>> >>> Greetings, >>> >>> Two points, >>> >>> First, I need to reclaim the time I spend creating blogs for Clock >> Work's web site.. 95% of the time, those were written out out of necessity >> to drive eyeballs to the site and it worked very well... it lead to a bunch >> of good leads, to interesting/fun conversations, and most importantly, some >> new friends, but.. life is short and getting shorter. I need to replace the >> "finder" (i.e. awareness) function that that provided. The replacement plan >> is to deputize anyone as a replacement buyer brokers, or well-paid >> recommenders if you prefer. It's astonishing how often this channel was >> discovered in casual conversation at the marina. >>> >>> So, anyone who knows someone looking for or interested in a nice Nordic >> Tug 42 can just introduce them (with their permission, please) to Clock >> Work via its web site. If that person ends up buying her, YOU.. the >> introducer.. get most of that buyer-broker's commission... 1.5%. NO other >> work to do whatsoever, other than upwards of 30 seconds of clicking/typing >> to introduce your suggestion using the contact screen. >>> >>> Using the Option-1/market price, $525k as an example.. you're paid >> $7875 if your guy buys her. Read up on the higher-than-you-might-think odds >> in your favor at the link below. >>> >>> Details at: >> https://www.clockwork-usa.com/post/the-clock-work-common-broker-program >>> >>> >>> Second thing.. did a note on my engineering/systems take wrt fully >> mechanical vs electronic diesel engine control considerations, which comes >> up with literally everyone I speak with about Clock Work. It's located >> right next to the "common broker/introducer program blog". Important.. the >> note is intended for the person in the process of deciding, when a choice >> exists, between those decisions. Not for the person who already made the >> decision. >>> >>> Safe sailing/raking, >>> Miguel >>> >>> -- >>> MV Clockwork >>> >>> Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/ >>> fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT (reliability by design) >>>> 75% of factory projected engine life remaining >>> gen-2 layout with bridge >>> see more at the site >>> If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls >> look at the recommender program that pays 1.5% to whomever recommends the >> ultimate buyer.. >>> example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work" cf: >> https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y >>> >>> _______________________________________________ >>> Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org >>> To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org >> >> Subject: Digest Footer >> _______________________________________________ >> Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org >> To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org >> >> ------------------------------ >> >> End of Sentoa Digest, Vol 161, Issue 10 >> *************************************** >> > > > > -- > MV Clockwork > > Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/ > > - fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT > - > 75% of factory projected engine life remaining > - gen-2 layout with bridge > > If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls look > at the recommender program that pays *1.5% to whomever recommends the > ultimate buyer..* > example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work" cf: https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y >
SP
Stephen Paul
Fri, Oct 25, 2024 9:31 PM

Agreed.  Here’s hoping a sale comes soon!

Steve Paul

Penny-wise
NT37-203

828 Casterline Rd.
Endicott, NY. 13760

C: 607.768.4024

On Oct 25, 2024, at 5:23 PM, Louis via Sentoa sentoa@lists.sentoa.org wrote:

Ok, this is getting weird. I haven’t been closely following but that is one of the oddest rants/Ted Talks I’ve ever read.

I hope everyone is enjoying their fall cruising.

Cheers,

Louis
Dark Star

On Oct 25, 2024, at 10:59 AM, sentoa-request@lists.sentoa.org wrote:

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Today's Topics:

  1. Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston Claytor) (P MVKW)

Message: 1
Date: Fri, 25 Oct 2024 13:59:24 -0400
From: P MVKW public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com
Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston
Claytor)
To: sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
Message-ID:
CAGXY2UDcZwixodwWNJ_UagoTuCJpusMZ14BS8XxwBOoY=GwC5Q@mail.gmail.com
Content-Type: multipart/alternative;
boundary="000000000000c8d4a0062550e19b"

Hi Preston,

Thank you for looking out for me. I don’t check this list often as I’m a
committed former boater (love the boat.. hate “other things”).. and another
person from the list texted me to check my boat email.

I need lots of tough love for lots of things, but I don’t think we’re quite
there yet on the boat.. I’ll explain. I recognized your name from a
thoughtful post about accepting a chartering business offer for my boat.
90% of what I hear on the web is quietly dropped into the
“google-smart/forum-smart bucket” and prioritized accordingly. I have a
memory of that reply’s excellence and felt your actual knowledge of that
space fell into the other 10% and was immediately appreciated.

A lot going on, but from the above, I am obliged (happily) to return the
favor you did for me. Two things about this note.. I can report you truly
could have done some homework on the business side to justify your
conclusions. Truly, all of that was covered, usually in multiple places and
your three options for why I still have it, respectfully, don’t line up
with reality at my end. All that’s covered, but if you have a boat, why
read my site? Well... if you’re going to diagnose my judgment or boat at a
distance and reduce the risk of replacing fact with a contrary assumption
that fits into a bucket you saw someplace else. It’s considered good form
to raise criticisms one on one, and especially when a faulty assumption
might influence the thinking of anyone who might have heard it... like
potentially interested buyers. You might start off making room for other
possibilities... that are easily discoverable if you’re truly committed to
sharing your opinion.

Here’s something I don’t share outside of close friends that might provide
a reason to not make simple assumptions about my decision-making on this..
EVERY DAY of my adult life, and I’m ancient now, I wake up committed to
being different than everyone I meet that day to build skills and learn new
things that make me useful in ways most cannot be. Nobody makes room for
that guy, and no problem. Thinking mistakes have put a lot of food on the
table and will sell some books. Look at the endorsements on my site.. I’m a
freak. Practitioner’s experience (years and hours) and a formalist’s
training (years and hours).. I can’t waste hours of life being regaled by
friends in their cockpit sipping wine and watching yet another sunset, with
accounts of how cosmically perfect their new Italian marble counters are,
or how their massively optioned new Range Rover FINALLY got exactly the
right shade of white. Kill me. I’m a freak like I said, but to quote cop
friend, “better that than being a serial murderer”. Though I’m sure he only
says that because I know how to adjust his clutch in the field, and blow
him away in the cones... and I have a backhoe that can dig down 7’, while
cadaver sniffing dogs are only good to 3’:) I’m sorry to push this blather
out.. I know I’m broken/different than you’re used to, but hopefully in a
useful way. But still, I’d prefer to not get into any of this in public
settings like forums. Hey.. .I don’t trust most people’s judgment either,
and I get that too. If you have something to share I can potentially use, I
VERY much wish to hear it, but non-destructively.

Regarding brokers.. covered in spades too. I have 40+ years running a tech
company I began and I was both the top technical (fun) and business
(boring) guy. I can clean a bathroom better than any employee too.
Operating on 4 continents. It presented bottomless opportunities to develop
my rules of engagement and to never risk my reputation or the outcome with
a relationship I shouldn’t be in. Under that umbrella, include never
pretending I didn’t compute to potential to violate that ROE when I read
the anti-trust/anti-competitive behavior alleged in the class action suit
linked in this: https://tinyurl.com/yv7deenz. But read the details.. I made
4 sincere efforts when I decided to sell. Never again.

Business judgment is always subject to the deciders squishy rules about
things you can’t hold in your hands. On the other hand, when you get into
systems and practical stochastic reasoning/decision, you’re squarely in my
wheel house and this is the part of your note I feel obligated to put back
on the tracks. Diving in...

By Preston:    ... your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump
Cummins products are superior… this is an opinion.

Multiple issues ruin that...

First.. I’m sorry Preston, but where you came off the tracks (respectfully)
the most is to confuse the line between opinion and math. Nearly the
opposite of each other. I’m sure typing in “opinion vs math” into a search
engine will fill in the details.

Literally the first blog I ever wrote (https://tinyurl.com/mv8fd9hr) on the
site showed the math of how parts-count drives failure rate and it attempts
to assume the reader is not an astronaut. I must have repeated this next
point 20 times in recent writing......

------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK --------

Friends gave me crap for repeating it so much recently. You have to though
when you’re audience is very unlikely to have an engineering/systems
background. Repetition is the soul of education, if you ask the Jesuits.
But no matter.. forget the math.. all you need to remember are those seven
words. Inarguable.

Second... Saying my position is that mechanical fuel pumps are superior to
electronic also comes at the point from the wrong direction... an “Escher
shift”. My ACTUAL point is to respect the truth that as the count of parts
that can stop the show (and # system states) increases, so will the failure
rate of the system..... Assuming the non-control elements of the engine’s
under comparison being approximately equal, the electronically controlled
engine has a barge full of things THAT CAN FAIL and kill the system on the
spot, that the mechanical engine does noT.

------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK --------

They aren’t intrinsically superior.. they just haven’t had numerous
vulnerabilities designed/built in to them because some hippies at the EPA
“had an idea”.

Don’t miss this detail I failed to put in the note on the web site that
might be a different path to clarity.. adding one single part that performs
a critical function to a collection of parts decreases that system’s
reliability/MTBF.

And don’t gloss over it being only about the fuel pump... on the
electronic, but not the mechanical, you have a universe of sensors, servos,
network/connections, and infinitely more state-spaces. They are enumerated
in the comparison note....

Third.. I see you refer to Cummins and that is secondary to the point. My
boat competes with other Nordic Tugs and they all use Cummins, but in the
comparison of electronic vs mechanical (https://tinyurl.com/bd6jdu66) is about
one control type  vs another
, and is in the end irrespective of brand.
Math and physics don’t understand brand. I was fortunate to be able to
enlarge the data set using Cummins truck engines and still retain a
connection to Cummins and to the time frame. The non-zero possibility both
marine and truck control systems being design by the same design culture
and maybe even the same people.

Fourth... about....

NOT PAYING MORE FOR something older with less functionality

I’m dead certain you won’t, but you should. They ARE more reliable for
reasons you don't seem to accept as valid. I wish I were better at
explaining this. You aren’t unique in this but this perspective is never
heard from people who are more technically educated/experienced (high
hours), and who are mechanically inclined and long-term engine guys... who
play with engines for fun. This stuff is what I do for a living. This stuff
is exactly what I used to select my boat 10 years ago. I’ve been involved
in flying around the world to debug system designs since the late 80’s.
Pointless complexity (parts count/system states) NEVER adds to reliability.
I have been on rescue consults where that toxic pointless complexity was
the root cause of the problem.

Different try... Read up on the first vacuum tube computers like Eniac or
Colossus.. up to 2000 tubes... 500hr tube MTBF.. which translates to
FREQUENT system failures. To reduce the ultimate system failure rates,
designers worked to lower the parts (tubes) count, and to make the
constituent parts more reliable. There are  accounts that the run time for
some problems were not infrequently longer than the mean projected system
up time. Identical to the elevator problem in that first blog... imagine
the elevator can’t move if certain individual bulbs are out. Same as
electronically controlled engines. There’s nobody with design
responsibility who doesn’t know this but it doesn’t trickle down to the
user. They don’t put it in the brochure next to the super models. I knew
this going in when I decided I had to sell it myself and tried to educate.
I’d say 1/3+ of the people who contact the site are believers by the time
they fill out the form and most get there eventually. As with 100% of the
people I speak with about technical decision/risk, the most interested are
military and surgeons who “get” don’t F up or death follows.

Re: the “less functionality” you refer to... the complete phrase would be:

“less functionality not essential to the mission”

The mission is to keep the engine running no matter what. What comes after
that is entertainment.

The “older” you refer to won’t matter in your lifetime. There is a
too-simplistic view of “old” about machinery at work in the leisure class.
I’ve got 75% of the factory projected engine life left on mine and one
person in a position to know said that actual projected engine life is
actually about 50% more than published projected. You personally won’t pay
for it but “old, simple and well-cared“ for has plenty of people
competing for. A real thing. Look up the Lindy Effect.

If you read the multiple places where I said it, my position on
mechanical/electronic is for PRE-DECISION PEOPLE... NOT POST-DECISION. I’m
ecstatic you’re so satisfied with your boat... best of luck going forward.
And while either of your electronically controlled engines are absolutely
more vulnerable than my 6CT, your SYSTEM reliability (the vessel able to
still move) is much higher than mine given you have two of them. I said
that in the note too.

I gotta end this because I wrote it ALL down in much more careful detail
already, but honestly.. this isn’t that hard. The 7 magic words. Every
system is the elevator problem. Give that note I put up comparing
reliability of mechanical vs electronic a read without having an initial
mindset I'm a screw up. I make a tolerable living at these things and
nobody ever stood up during a talk while I was speaking and screamed “I
would gladly pay another Kreutzer if this would simply stop!!” (As happened
to Beethoven, while conducting the debut of his Eroica symphony in Vienna
when an audience member found it a little too long.)

Thank you again for looking out for me. Appreciated. Safe sailing.

Take care,

M

Message: 4
Date: Tue, 22 Oct 2024 08:57:59 -0400
From: Preston Claytor lelandtrawlers@gmail.com
Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work
To: "South East Nordic Tugs Owners' Association (SENTOA)"
sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
Cc: P MVKW public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com
Message-ID: AF095210-CB5B-4CB2-A49D-311AFC2F893E@gmail.com
Content-Type: multipart/alternative;
boundary="Apple-Mail=_311953C0-9A8B-4066-9F80-9F54264184C8"

Miguel,
Perhaps its time for some tough love …..
I’m pretty sure that this boat has been for sale for several years.
NTs are fairly marketable which leads us to several possibilities…

  1. There is something wrong with it (I doubt it)
  2. It is over priced …. (likely)
  3. You don’t really want to sell it  (no clue)
    If you really wanted to move the boat, one call to a reputable broker and
    a reasonable price would sell it ….
    Lastly, your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump Cummins
    products are superior … this is an opinion.  Is there anything wrong with
    the older engines …. no …. but ….
    I have a pair of common rail Cummins in my current boat and they are
    bullet proof machines that produce for more useable information than the
    analog gaged older models … that is a fact and my opinion is that they are
    equal or superior to the older models.
    I personally wouldn’t pay extra for something older with less
    functionality …
    Preston
    Former NT owner (sold mine quickly by the above method)

On Oct 18, 2024, at 11:05 AM, P MVKW via Sentoa sentoa@lists.sentoa.org

wrote:

Greetings,

Two points,

First, I need to reclaim the time I spend creating blogs for Clock

Work's web site.. 95% of the time, those were written out out of necessity
to drive eyeballs to the site and it worked very well... it lead to a bunch
of good leads, to interesting/fun conversations, and most importantly, some
new friends, but.. life is short and getting shorter. I need to replace the
"finder" (i.e. awareness) function that that provided. The replacement plan
is to deputize anyone as a replacement buyer brokers, or well-paid
recommenders if you prefer. It's astonishing how often this channel was
discovered in casual conversation at the marina.

So, anyone  who knows someone looking for or interested in a nice Nordic

Tug 42 can just introduce them (with their permission, please) to Clock
Work via its web site. If that person ends up buying her, YOU.. the
introducer.. get most of that buyer-broker's commission... 1.5%. NO other
work to do whatsoever, other than upwards of 30 seconds of clicking/typing
to introduce your suggestion using the contact screen.

Using the Option-1/market price,  $525k  as an example.. you're paid

$7875 if your guy buys her. Read up on the higher-than-you-might-think odds
in your favor at the link below.

Details at:

Second thing.. did a note on my engineering/systems take wrt fully

mechanical vs electronic diesel engine control considerations, which comes
up with literally everyone I speak with about Clock Work.  It's located
right next to the "common broker/introducer program blog". Important.. the
note is intended for the person in the process of deciding, when a choice
exists, between those decisions. Not for the person who already made the
decision.

Safe sailing/raking,
Miguel

--
MV Clockwork

Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/
fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT (reliability by design)

75% of factory projected engine life remaining

gen-2 layout with bridge
see more at the site
If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls

look at the recommender program that pays 1.5% to whomever recommends the
ultimate buyer..

example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work"    cf:


Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org

Subject: Digest Footer


Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org
To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org


End of Sentoa Digest, Vol 161, Issue 10


--
MV Clockwork

Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/

  • fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT
  • 75% of factory projected engine life remaining

  • gen-2 layout with bridge

If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls look
at the recommender program that pays 1.5% to whomever recommends the
ultimate buyer..

example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work"    cf: https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y

Agreed. Here’s hoping a sale comes soon! Steve Paul Penny-wise NT37-203 828 Casterline Rd. Endicott, NY. 13760 C: 607.768.4024 > On Oct 25, 2024, at 5:23 PM, Louis via Sentoa <sentoa@lists.sentoa.org> wrote: > > Ok, this is getting weird. I haven’t been closely following but that is one of the oddest rants/Ted Talks I’ve ever read. > > I hope everyone is enjoying their fall cruising. > > Cheers, > > Louis > Dark Star > > >> On Oct 25, 2024, at 10:59 AM, sentoa-request@lists.sentoa.org wrote: >> >> Send Sentoa mailing list submissions to >> sentoa@lists.sentoa.org >> >> To subscribe or unsubscribe via email, send a message with subject or >> body 'help' to >> sentoa-request@lists.sentoa.org >> >> You can reach the person managing the list at >> sentoa-owner@lists.sentoa.org >> >> When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific >> than "Re: Contents of Sentoa digest..." >> >> Today's Topics: >> >> 1. Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston Claytor) (P MVKW) >> >> >> ---------------------------------------------------------------------- >> >> Message: 1 >> Date: Fri, 25 Oct 2024 13:59:24 -0400 >> From: P MVKW <public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com> >> Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work (Preston >> Claytor) >> To: sentoa@lists.sentoa.org >> Message-ID: >> <CAGXY2UDcZwixodwWNJ_UagoTuCJpusMZ14BS8XxwBOoY=GwC5Q@mail.gmail.com> >> Content-Type: multipart/alternative; >> boundary="000000000000c8d4a0062550e19b" >> >> Hi Preston, >> >> >> >> Thank you for looking out for me. I don’t check this list often as I’m a >> committed former boater (love the boat.. hate “other things”).. and another >> person from the list texted me to check my boat email. >> >> >> >> I need lots of tough love for lots of things, but I don’t think we’re quite >> there yet on the boat.. I’ll explain. I recognized your name from a >> thoughtful post about accepting a chartering business offer for my boat. >> 90% of what I hear on the web is quietly dropped into the >> “google-smart/forum-smart bucket” and prioritized accordingly. I have a >> memory of that reply’s excellence and felt your actual knowledge of that >> space fell into the other 10% and was immediately appreciated. >> >> >> >> A lot going on, but from the above, I am obliged (happily) to return the >> favor you did for me. Two things about this note.. I can report you truly >> could have done some homework on the business side to justify your >> conclusions. Truly, all of that was covered, usually in multiple places and >> your three options for why I still have it, respectfully, don’t line up >> with reality at my end. All that’s covered, but if you have a boat, why >> read my site? Well... if you’re going to diagnose my judgment or boat at a >> distance and reduce the risk of replacing fact with a contrary assumption >> that fits into a bucket you saw someplace else. It’s considered good form >> to raise criticisms one on one, and especially when a faulty assumption >> might influence the thinking of anyone who might have heard it... like >> potentially interested buyers. You might start off making room for other >> possibilities... that are easily discoverable if you’re truly committed to >> sharing your opinion. >> >> >> >> Here’s something I don’t share outside of close friends that might provide >> a reason to not make simple assumptions about my decision-making on this.. >> EVERY DAY of my adult life, and I’m ancient now, I wake up committed to >> being different than everyone I meet that day to build skills and learn new >> things that make me useful in ways most cannot be. Nobody makes room for >> that guy, and no problem. Thinking mistakes have put a lot of food on the >> table and will sell some books. Look at the endorsements on my site.. I’m a >> freak. Practitioner’s experience (years and hours) and a formalist’s >> training (years and hours).. I can’t waste hours of life being regaled by >> friends in their cockpit sipping wine and watching yet another sunset, with >> accounts of how cosmically perfect their new Italian marble counters are, >> or how their massively optioned new Range Rover FINALLY got exactly the >> right shade of white. Kill me. I’m a freak like I said, but to quote cop >> friend, “better that than being a serial murderer”. Though I’m sure he only >> says that because I know how to adjust his clutch in the field, and blow >> him away in the cones... and I have a backhoe that can dig down 7’, while >> cadaver sniffing dogs are only good to 3’:) I’m sorry to push this blather >> out.. I know I’m broken/different than you’re used to, but hopefully in a >> useful way. But still, I’d prefer to not get into any of this in public >> settings like forums. Hey.. .I don’t trust most people’s judgment either, >> and I get that too. If you have something to share I can potentially use, I >> VERY much wish to hear it, but non-destructively. >> >> >> >> Regarding brokers.. covered in spades too. I have 40+ years running a tech >> company I began and I was both the top technical (fun) and business >> (boring) guy. I can clean a bathroom better than any employee too. >> Operating on 4 continents. It presented bottomless opportunities to develop >> my rules of engagement and to never risk my reputation or the outcome with >> a relationship I shouldn’t be in. Under that umbrella, include never >> pretending I didn’t compute to potential to violate that ROE when I read >> the anti-trust/anti-competitive behavior alleged in the class action suit >> linked in this: https://tinyurl.com/yv7deenz. But read the details.. I made >> 4 sincere efforts when I decided to sell. Never again. >> >> >> >> Business judgment is always subject to the deciders squishy rules about >> things you can’t hold in your hands. On the other hand, when you get into >> systems and practical stochastic reasoning/decision, you’re squarely in my >> wheel house and this is the part of your note I feel obligated to put back >> on the tracks. Diving in... >> >> >> >> >> >> By Preston: ... your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump >> Cummins products are superior… this is an opinion. >> >> >> >> Multiple issues ruin that... >> >> >> >> First.. I’m sorry Preston, but where you came off the tracks (respectfully) >> the most is to confuse the line between opinion and math. Nearly the >> opposite of each other. I’m sure typing in “opinion vs math” into a search >> engine will fill in the details. >> >> >> >> Literally the first blog I ever wrote (https://tinyurl.com/mv8fd9hr) on the >> site showed the math of how parts-count drives failure rate and it attempts >> to assume the reader is not an astronaut. I must have repeated this next >> point 20 times in recent writing...... >> >> >> >> ------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK -------- >> >> >> >> Friends gave me crap for repeating it so much recently. You have to though >> when you’re audience is very unlikely to have an engineering/systems >> background. Repetition is the soul of education, if you ask the Jesuits. >> But no matter.. forget the math.. all you need to remember are those seven >> words. Inarguable. >> >> >> >> Second... Saying my position is that mechanical fuel pumps are superior to >> electronic also comes at the point from the wrong direction... an “Escher >> shift”. My ACTUAL point is to respect the truth that as the count of parts >> that can stop the show (and # system states) increases, so will the failure >> rate of the system..... Assuming the non-control elements of the engine’s >> under comparison being approximately equal, the electronically controlled >> engine has a barge full of things THAT CAN FAIL and kill the system on the >> spot, that the mechanical engine does noT. >> >> >> >> >> >> ------------ IF IT’S NOT THERE, IT CAN’T BREAK -------- >> >> >> >> >> >> They aren’t intrinsically superior.. they just haven’t had numerous >> vulnerabilities designed/built in to them because some hippies at the EPA >> “had an idea”. >> >> >> >> Don’t miss this detail I failed to put in the note on the web site that >> might be a different path to clarity.. adding one single part that performs >> a critical function to a collection of parts decreases that system’s >> reliability/MTBF. >> >> >> >> And don’t gloss over it being only about the fuel pump... on the >> electronic, but not the mechanical, you have a universe of sensors, servos, >> network/connections, and infinitely more state-spaces. They are enumerated >> in the comparison note.... >> >> >> >> Third.. I see you refer to Cummins and that is secondary to the point. My >> boat competes with other Nordic Tugs and they all use Cummins, but in the >> comparison of electronic vs mechanical (https://tinyurl.com/bd6jdu66) is *about >> one control **type** vs another*, and is in the end irrespective of brand. >> Math and physics don’t understand brand. I was fortunate to be able to >> enlarge the data set using Cummins truck engines and still retain a >> connection to Cummins and to the time frame. The non-zero possibility both >> marine and truck control systems being design by the same design culture >> and maybe even the same people. >> >> >> >> Fourth... about.... >> >> >> >> NOT PAYING MORE FOR something older with less functionality >> >> >> >> I’m dead certain you won’t, but you should. They ARE more reliable for >> reasons you don't seem to accept as valid. I wish I were better at >> explaining this. You aren’t unique in this but this perspective is never >> heard from people who are more technically educated/experienced (high >> hours), and who are mechanically inclined and long-term engine guys... who >> play with engines for fun. This stuff is what I do for a living. This stuff >> is exactly what I used to select my boat 10 years ago. I’ve been involved >> in flying around the world to debug system designs since the late 80’s. >> Pointless complexity (parts count/system states) NEVER adds to reliability. >> I have been on rescue consults where that toxic pointless complexity was >> the root cause of the problem. >> >> >> >> Different try... Read up on the first vacuum tube computers like Eniac or >> Colossus.. up to 2000 tubes... 500hr tube MTBF.. which translates to >> FREQUENT system failures. To reduce the ultimate system failure rates, >> designers worked to lower the parts (tubes) count, and to make the >> constituent parts more reliable. There are accounts that the run time for >> some problems were not infrequently longer than the mean projected system >> up time. Identical to the elevator problem in that first blog... imagine >> the elevator can’t move if certain individual bulbs are out. Same as >> electronically controlled engines. There’s nobody with design >> responsibility who doesn’t know this but it doesn’t trickle down to the >> user. They don’t put it in the brochure next to the super models. I knew >> this going in when I decided I had to sell it myself and tried to educate. >> I’d say 1/3+ of the people who contact the site are believers by the time >> they fill out the form and most get there eventually. As with 100% of the >> people I speak with about technical decision/risk, the most interested are >> military and surgeons who “get” don’t F up or death follows. >> >> >> >> Re: the “less functionality” you refer to... the complete phrase would be: >> >> >> >> “less functionality not essential to the mission” >> >> >> >> The mission is to keep the engine running no matter what. What comes after >> that is entertainment. >> >> >> >> The “older” you refer to won’t matter in your lifetime. There is a >> too-simplistic view of “old” about machinery at work in the leisure class. >> I’ve got 75% of the factory projected engine life left on mine and one >> person in a position to know said that actual projected engine life is >> actually about 50% more than published projected. You personally won’t pay >> for it but “old, simple *and well-cared*“ for has plenty of people >> competing for. A real thing. Look up the Lindy Effect. >> >> >> >> If you read the multiple places where I said it, my position on >> mechanical/electronic is for PRE-DECISION PEOPLE... NOT POST-DECISION. I’m >> ecstatic you’re so satisfied with your boat... best of luck going forward. >> And while either of your electronically controlled engines are absolutely >> more vulnerable than my 6CT, your SYSTEM reliability (the vessel able to >> still move) is much higher than mine given you have two of them. I said >> that in the note too. >> >> >> >> >> >> I gotta end this because I wrote it ALL down in much more careful detail >> already, but honestly.. this isn’t that hard. The 7 magic words. Every >> system is the elevator problem. Give that note I put up comparing >> reliability of mechanical vs electronic a read without having an initial >> mindset I'm a screw up. I make a tolerable living at these things and >> nobody ever stood up during a talk while I was speaking and screamed “I >> would gladly pay another Kreutzer if this would simply stop!!” (As happened >> to Beethoven, while conducting the debut of his Eroica symphony in Vienna >> when an audience member found it a little too long.) >> >> >> >> Thank you again for looking out for me. Appreciated. Safe sailing. >> >> >> >> Take care, >> >> M >> >> >> >> >> >>> Message: 4 >>> Date: Tue, 22 Oct 2024 08:57:59 -0400 >>> From: Preston Claytor <lelandtrawlers@gmail.com> >>> Subject: [Sentoa] Re: 1.5% of sale for 30 seconds work >>> To: "South East Nordic Tugs Owners' Association (SENTOA)" >>> <sentoa@lists.sentoa.org> >>> Cc: P MVKW <public.mv.clockwork@gmail.com> >>> Message-ID: <AF095210-CB5B-4CB2-A49D-311AFC2F893E@gmail.com> >>> Content-Type: multipart/alternative; >>> boundary="Apple-Mail=_311953C0-9A8B-4066-9F80-9F54264184C8" >>> >>> Miguel, >>> Perhaps its time for some tough love ….. >>> I’m pretty sure that this boat has been for sale for several years. >>> NTs are fairly marketable which leads us to several possibilities… >>> 1. There is something wrong with it (I doubt it) >>> 2. It is over priced …. (likely) >>> 3. You don’t really want to sell it (no clue) >>> If you really wanted to move the boat, one call to a reputable broker and >>> a reasonable price would sell it …. >>> Lastly, your common theme is that the mechanical fuel pump Cummins >>> products are superior … this is an opinion. Is there anything wrong with >>> the older engines …. no …. but …. >>> I have a pair of common rail Cummins in my current boat and they are >>> bullet proof machines that produce for more useable information than the >>> analog gaged older models … that is a fact and my opinion is that they are >>> equal or superior to the older models. >>> I personally wouldn’t pay extra for something older with less >>> functionality … >>> Preston >>> Former NT owner (sold mine quickly by the above method) >>> >>> >>>> On Oct 18, 2024, at 11:05 AM, P MVKW via Sentoa <sentoa@lists.sentoa.org> >>> wrote: >>>> >>>> Greetings, >>>> >>>> Two points, >>>> >>>> First, I need to reclaim the time I spend creating blogs for Clock >>> Work's web site.. 95% of the time, those were written out out of necessity >>> to drive eyeballs to the site and it worked very well... it lead to a bunch >>> of good leads, to interesting/fun conversations, and most importantly, some >>> new friends, but.. life is short and getting shorter. I need to replace the >>> "finder" (i.e. awareness) function that that provided. The replacement plan >>> is to deputize anyone as a replacement buyer brokers, or well-paid >>> recommenders if you prefer. It's astonishing how often this channel was >>> discovered in casual conversation at the marina. >>>> >>>> So, anyone who knows someone looking for or interested in a nice Nordic >>> Tug 42 can just introduce them (with their permission, please) to Clock >>> Work via its web site. If that person ends up buying her, YOU.. the >>> introducer.. get most of that buyer-broker's commission... 1.5%. NO other >>> work to do whatsoever, other than upwards of 30 seconds of clicking/typing >>> to introduce your suggestion using the contact screen. >>>> >>>> Using the Option-1/market price, $525k as an example.. you're paid >>> $7875 if your guy buys her. Read up on the higher-than-you-might-think odds >>> in your favor at the link below. >>>> >>>> Details at: >>> https://www.clockwork-usa.com/post/the-clock-work-common-broker-program >>>> >>>> >>>> Second thing.. did a note on my engineering/systems take wrt fully >>> mechanical vs electronic diesel engine control considerations, which comes >>> up with literally everyone I speak with about Clock Work. It's located >>> right next to the "common broker/introducer program blog". Important.. the >>> note is intended for the person in the process of deciding, when a choice >>> exists, between those decisions. Not for the person who already made the >>> decision. >>>> >>>> Safe sailing/raking, >>>> Miguel >>>> >>>> -- >>>> MV Clockwork >>>> >>>> Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/ >>>> fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT (reliability by design) >>>>> 75% of factory projected engine life remaining >>>> gen-2 layout with bridge >>>> see more at the site >>>> If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls >>> look at the recommender program that pays 1.5% to whomever recommends the >>> ultimate buyer.. >>>> example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work" cf: >>> https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y >>>> >>>> _______________________________________________ >>>> Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org >>>> To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org >>> >>> Subject: Digest Footer >>> _______________________________________________ >>> Sentoa mailing list -- sentoa@lists.sentoa.org >>> To unsubscribe send an email to sentoa-leave@lists.sentoa.org >>> >>> ------------------------------ >>> >>> End of Sentoa Digest, Vol 161, Issue 10 >>> *************************************** >>> >> >> >> >> -- >> MV Clockwork >> >> Nordic Tug 42, available for purchase: https://www.clockwork-usa.com/ >> >> - fully-mechanical Cummins 6CT >> - > 75% of factory projected engine life remaining >> - gen-2 layout with bridge >> >> If you know someone looking for a NT42 or other reliable trawler, pls look >> at the recommender program that pays *1.5% to whomever recommends the >> ultimate buyer..* >> example: ~$7.5k for 30-60 sec "work" cf: https://tinyurl.com/yr9n572y >>